Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the UK Abolish the Two-Child Benefit Cap before October 1, 2024?

Resolved :No16%
59
Total Forecasters33
Community Prediction16% (10% - 20%)

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50%
community: 16%

Did this actually happen?No

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Tom_Metaculus
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