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What will Donald Trump and Kamala Harris' net favorability ratings as reported by 538 be on these pre-election dates?
1
16 comments
16
17 forecasters
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Kamala Harris, October 1 2024
Kamala Harris, November 1 2024
Kamala Harris, September 1 2024
Donald Trump, November 1 2024
Donald Trump, September 1 2024
Donald Trump, October 1 2024
Make a Prediction
Candidate/Date
resolution
Kamala Harris, September 1 2024
-0.9
Donald Trump, September 1 2024
-9.5
Kamala Harris, October 1 2024
1.3
Donald Trump, October 1 2024
-9.5
Donald Trump, November 1 2024
-8.7
Kamala Harris, November 1 2024
-1.6
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
community
<-20
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>20
0.1%
-2.489
-1.563
-0.7681
0.1%
What was the final result?
-0.9
Community Baseline Score
47.7
Community Peer Score
12.6
Additional Scores
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Background Info
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2024 Leaderboard
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News Match
Another Poll Shows Good News for Trump. So When Will the Media Fall in Line?
Townhall
•
Dec 17, 2024
Many Trump voters still have doubts about him. Can he hold them?
CNN
•
Dec 17, 2024
Democrats were united and turned out. Harris lost anyway.
•
Dec 20, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
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Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2024 Leaderboard
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
Another Poll Shows Good News for Trump. So When Will the Media Fall in Line?
Townhall
•
Dec 17, 2024
Many Trump voters still have doubts about him. Can he hold them?
CNN
•
Dec 17, 2024
Democrats were united and turned out. Harris lost anyway.
•
Dec 20, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
What will be Donald Trump's net favorability rating on December 27, 2024?
-1.22
Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?
20%
Predict the Impact of the 2024 US Presidential Election
Show More Questions