🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

By how much will the Fed cut rates at their September meeting?

11
16
93 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 93

Make a Prediction

Rate Cut AmountsMe
Resolved50 bps rate cut
49.9%
No rate cut
1%
25 bps rate cut
48.1%
More than 50 bps rate cut
1%
Total: ?
(? remaining)

Which of these actually happened?50 bps rate cut

Community Baseline Score
2.8
Community Peer Score
18.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
pedroacosta
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Economy & Business
2024 Leaderboard

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