Question

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

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Total Forecasters27

Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 0.1%)

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community: 0.1%

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Authors:

pedroacosta

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Economy & Business

2024 Leaderboard

Why the last bears on Wall Street are worried about the stock market in 2025

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

There's a sign flashing in the labor market that the US may be slipping into a recession, SocGen says

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Inflation May Prove Stickier, Making Deeper 2025 Rate Cuts Less Likely

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US unemployment rate reach 10% before 2031?

39%

What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

3.79

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

pedroacosta

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

2024 Leaderboard

Why the last bears on Wall Street are worried about the stock market in 2025

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

There's a sign flashing in the labor market that the US may be slipping into a recession, SocGen says

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Inflation May Prove Stickier, Making Deeper 2025 Rate Cuts Less Likely

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US unemployment rate reach 10% before 2031?

39%

What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

3.79

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MetaculusM

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

Make a Prediction

Will the US unemployment rate reach 10% before 2031?

What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

Comments

Will the US unemployment rate reach 10% before 2031?

What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

Will the US unemployment rate reach 10% before 2031?

What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

Will the US unemployment rate reach 10% before 2031?

What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?