🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will be the Accumulated Cyclone Energy of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season on October 7, 2024?

Resolved :118115
7
76
Total Forecasters72
Community Prediction115 (112 - 117)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<100
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>220
...
...
...
...
...
1.5%
112.2
114.6
117.3
0.1%

What was the final result?118

Community Baseline Score
-21.2
Community Peer Score
32.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Environment & Climate
2024 Leaderboard

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