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M

Question

Will a publicly-available LLM achieve gold on the International Math Olympiad before October 1, 2024?

Resolved :No10%
61
Total Forecasters38
Community Prediction10% (5% - 15%)

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50%
community: 10%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
0.0
Community Beer Score
0.0
Authors:
Tom_Metaculus
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Include Bots:Yes
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