MetaculusM

Question

Will Sheikh Hasina get asylum in the United Kingdom before October 1, 2024?

Resolved :No4%

3

Total Forecasters14

Community Prediction4% (1% - 5.7%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 4%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

85.2

Community Peer Score

6.4

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 6, 2024

Closes:

Sep 15, 2024

Resolves:

Oct 2, 2024

2024 Leaderboard

UN says Sheikh Hasina’s crackdown on protesters may constitute ‘crimes against humanity’

Independent•Feb 13, 2025

GOP Bill Would Ban Criminals From Asylum. Most Already Are

Newsweek•Feb 14, 2025

What next for Britain’s Syrian refugees? – Politics Weekly UK

Guardian•Feb 16, 2025

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 6, 2024

Closes:

Sep 15, 2024

Resolves:

Oct 2, 2024

2024 Leaderboard

UN says Sheikh Hasina’s crackdown on protesters may constitute ‘crimes against humanity’

Independent•Feb 13, 2025

GOP Bill Would Ban Criminals From Asylum. Most Already Are

Newsweek•Feb 14, 2025

What next for Britain’s Syrian refugees? – Politics Weekly UK

Guardian•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Sovereign State of the Bektashi Order become an independent, recognised country before 2035?

Will assisted dying for terminally ill adults be legal for the majority of United Kingdom residents before 2030?

Will there be Parliamentary elections in Bulgaria within one year from October 28, 2024?