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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

Question

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

Total Forecasters10
Community Prediction25%

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community: 25%
median 25.0%mean 31.5%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%

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