MetaculusM

Question

If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?

-2

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction69% (60% - 78%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 69%

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 11, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jul 1, 2050

Conditional Trees: AI Risk

Alvin's Community Page

Artificial Intelligence

Meta says it may stop development of AI systems it deems too risky

TechCrunch•Feb 16, 2025

Experts share chilling warning over DeepSeek as it sparks 'Lord Of the Rings race' for superhuman intelligence

Daily Mail•Feb 15, 2025

What Are AI Agents, and Why Are They About to Be Everywhere?

Scientific American•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

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Authors:

Opened:

Aug 11, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jul 1, 2050

Conditional Trees: AI Risk

Alvin's Community Page

Artificial Intelligence

Meta says it may stop development of AI systems it deems too risky

TechCrunch•Feb 16, 2025

Experts share chilling warning over DeepSeek as it sparks 'Lord Of the Rings race' for superhuman intelligence

Daily Mail•Feb 15, 2025

What Are AI Agents, and Why Are They About to Be Everywhere?

Scientific American•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch