Question

Between 2023 and 2030, will revenue from deep learning double every two years?

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Total Forecasters13

Community Prediction51% (25% - 56%)

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50%

community: 51%

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lbiii

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Conditional Trees: AI Risk

Technology

Artificial Intelligence

Here are the deals the 'AI arms race' could drive in 2025, according to 4 bankers from Goldman Sachs, BofA, and Axom Partners

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

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Psychology Today•Dec 20, 2024

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Forbes•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles?

56%

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

34.4%

Will a 8-year gross world product doubling complete before a 2-year doubling does?

61%

Comments

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Authors:

lbiii

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Conditional Trees: AI Risk

Technology

Artificial Intelligence

Here are the deals the 'AI arms race' could drive in 2025, according to 4 bankers from Goldman Sachs, BofA, and Axom Partners

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Will 2025 Be a "Technology Wake-Up Call" for Clinicians?

Psychology Today•Dec 20, 2024

Google: The Long-Term Threat From OpenAI Is Significant

Forbes•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles?

56%

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

34.4%

Will a 8-year gross world product doubling complete before a 2-year doubling does?

61%

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Between 2023 and 2030, will revenue from deep learning double every two years?

Make a Prediction

Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles?

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

Will a 8-year gross world product doubling complete before a 2-year doubling does?

Comments

Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles?

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

Will a 8-year gross world product doubling complete before a 2-year doubling does?

Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles?

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

Will a 8-year gross world product doubling complete before a 2-year doubling does?

Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles?

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

Will a 8-year gross world product doubling complete before a 2-year doubling does?