Question

Between 2023 and 2030, will revenue from deep learning double every two years?

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Total Forecasters14

Community Prediction51.5% (25% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 51.5%

Authors:

lbiii

Opened:

Aug 11, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jul 1, 2030

Conditional Trees: AI Risk

Technology

Artificial Intelligence

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Forbes•Jan 26, 2025

DeepSeek ‘punctures’ AI leaders’ spending plans, and what analysts are saying

TechCrunch•Jan 27, 2025

Nvidia stock: China's DeepSeek AI model shocks the world. Should you sell?

USA Today•Jan 28, 2025

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Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles?

57%

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

34.4%

Will a 8-year gross world product doubling complete before a 2-year doubling does?

61%

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