Question

Between 2023 and 2030, will revenue from deep learning double every two years?

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Total Forecasters17

Community Prediction66% (51.5% - 79%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 66%

Authors:

lbiii

Opened:

Aug 11, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jul 1, 2030

Conditional Trees: AI Risk

Technology

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Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles?

57%

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

34.4%

Will a 8-year gross world product doubling complete before a 2-year doubling does?

61%

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