Question

Will there be more people with HIV/AIDS in 2037 than in 2017?

41 comments41

Total Forecasters177

Community Prediction33% (20% - 45%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 33%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Apr 13, 2019

Closes:

Jan 1, 2038

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2038

Health & Pandemics

Infectious disease

AIDS in Africa

Eastern and Southern African Management Institute

Funding for AIDS relief program to stop in coming days after foreign aid pause ordered

CBS•Jan 27, 2025

Distribution of HIV drugs in poor countries stopped as Trump freezes foreign aid

USA Today•Jan 29, 2025

Distribution of US-backed HIV medications to poorest nations in flux after Trump order slowing foreign aid

Independent•Jan 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the rate of new pancreatic cancer cases be in the US in the year 2038?

14.4

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

37%

How many deaths from Tuberculosis will occur globally in the following years?

994k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Apr 13, 2019

Closes:

Jan 1, 2038

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2038

Health & Pandemics

Infectious disease

AIDS in Africa

Eastern and Southern African Management Institute

Funding for AIDS relief program to stop in coming days after foreign aid pause ordered

CBS•Jan 27, 2025

Distribution of HIV drugs in poor countries stopped as Trump freezes foreign aid

USA Today•Jan 29, 2025

Distribution of US-backed HIV medications to poorest nations in flux after Trump order slowing foreign aid

Independent•Jan 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the rate of new pancreatic cancer cases be in the US in the year 2038?

14.4

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

37%

How many deaths from Tuberculosis will occur globally in the following years?

994k