Question

Will there be more people with HIV/AIDS in 2037 than in 2017?

40 comments40

Total Forecasters177

Community Prediction33% (20% - 45%)

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50%

community: 33%

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Authors:

Jgalt

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Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Virology

AIDS in Africa

Eastern and Southern African Management Institute

Mpox became a global health emergency for the second time in 2024

New Scientist•Dec 14, 2024

Malaria cases rise for fifth year as disasters and resistance hamper control efforts

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Malaria Is Rising With a Vengeance, Killing Massive Numbers, Most in Africa

Mother Jones•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

HIV Vaccine Approved Before 2032? → More HIV/AIDS in 2037 than 2017?

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

75%

What will the rate of new pancreatic cancer cases be in the US in the year 2038?

14.4

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Virology

AIDS in Africa

Eastern and Southern African Management Institute

Mpox became a global health emergency for the second time in 2024

New Scientist•Dec 14, 2024

Malaria cases rise for fifth year as disasters and resistance hamper control efforts

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Malaria Is Rising With a Vengeance, Killing Massive Numbers, Most in Africa

Mother Jones•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

HIV Vaccine Approved Before 2032? → More HIV/AIDS in 2037 than 2017?

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

75%

What will the rate of new pancreatic cancer cases be in the US in the year 2038?

14.4

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Will there be more people with HIV/AIDS in 2037 than in 2017?

Make a Prediction

HIV Vaccine Approved Before 2032? → More HIV/AIDS in 2037 than 2017?

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

What will the rate of new pancreatic cancer cases be in the US in the year 2038?

Comments

HIV Vaccine Approved Before 2032? → More HIV/AIDS in 2037 than 2017?

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

What will the rate of new pancreatic cancer cases be in the US in the year 2038?

HIV Vaccine Approved Before 2032? → More HIV/AIDS in 2037 than 2017?

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

What will the rate of new pancreatic cancer cases be in the US in the year 2038?

HIV Vaccine Approved Before 2032? → More HIV/AIDS in 2037 than 2017?

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

What will the rate of new pancreatic cancer cases be in the US in the year 2038?