Question
If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?
Resolved :Annulled1.11Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction1.11 (0.541 - 2.35)
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CDF
My Prediction
community<0.1
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>30
...
...
...
...
...
4.7%
0.5407
1.109
2.352
1.4%
What was the final result?Annulled
Authors:
Opened:Aug 13, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
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Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 13, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch