Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

conditional
condition

CTs Policy Response After AI Catastrophe

9 forecasters
if yes
if no

CTs AI Extinction Before 2100

59%
59%

CTs AI Extinction Before 2100

45%
45%
2
3

Make a Prediction

CTs Policy Response After AI Catastrophe

CTs AI Extinction Before 2100

50%
community: 59%
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
lbiii
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Conditional Trees: AI Risk
Technology
Artificial Intelligence

Comments

? comments