Question
On December 31st, 2024, which organization will have the most intelligent publicly available AI model as judged by members of the Samotsvety forecasting group?
Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters 10
Make a Prediction
| Organization | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Anthropic | 15.4% | |||
Google / DeepMind | 3.2% | |||
Meta | 0.1% | |||
Microsoft | 0.1% | |||
OpenAI | 81% | |||
xAI | 0.1% | |||
Other | 0.1% | |||
Total: ?
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