Question

How many cases of measles will be recorded in the United States for the year 2020?

Resolved :Below lower bound

35 comments35

Total Forecasters81

Community Prediction250

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<250

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2.5k

...

55.3%

<250

341.4

0.8%

What was the final result?Below lower bound

Community Baseline Score

21.0

Community Peer Score

82.3

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Measles is debilitating and deadly, and cases are surging, WHO and CDC warn

CNN•Nov 15, 2024

WHO warns of measles resurgence as cases exceed 10 million in 2023

Al Jazeera•Nov 15, 2024

Measles cases rose to more than 10 million in 2023, WHO and CDC say

NBC•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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