🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Hurricane Ernesto cause major damage in Bermuda, exceeding $200 million (USD)?

Resolved :No23%
3
9
Total Forecasters6
Community Prediction23% (20% - 32%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 23%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
39.9
Community Peer Score
3.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
mavik
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Environment & Climate
Natural Sciences
2024 Leaderboard

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