🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will the nominated Republican presidential candidate receive over 50% of the valid votes in Texas in 2024 United States presidential election?

Resolved :Yes97%
1
20
Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction97% (93% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 97%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
86.1
Community Peer Score
9.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
julleht
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Politics
2024 Leaderboard

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