Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Question

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?

5
0
Total Forecasters62
Community Prediction0.7% (0.1% - 4%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.7%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
johnnycaffeineRyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Technology & Risks
2024-2025 Leaderboard

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