MetaculusM

Question

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

6

Total Forecasters41

Community Prediction10% (1% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 22, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Whither the Silicon Shield: China’s Plans for Reunification and Supply Chain Risks

Townhall•Feb 12, 2025

Inside the Trump Administration's Taiwan Debate | Opinion

Newsweek•Feb 12, 2025

From defense to chips, Trump keeps Taiwan guessing

CNN•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 22, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Whither the Silicon Shield: China’s Plans for Reunification and Supply Chain Risks

Townhall•Feb 12, 2025

Inside the Trump Administration's Taiwan Debate | Opinion

Newsweek•Feb 12, 2025

From defense to chips, Trump keeps Taiwan guessing

CNN•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch