Question

When will India conduct a caste census?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters3

Community Prediction2033-07-23 (2028-11-11 - 2042-08-19)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2102-03-30

...

2028-11-11 00:44

2033-07-23 03:29

2042-08-19 10:20

7.0%

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Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Social Sciences

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Associated Press•Dec 17, 2024

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CNN•Dec 17, 2024

Proposal to change India’s voting system to allow simultaneous polls fails to pass lower Parliament

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Indian authorities report that two hundred million or more pilgrims have attended Kumbh Mela?

63%

Will in-line chlorination devices serve at least 5.8 million people in Andhra Pradesh at the end of the 4th year of Evidence Action's program?

67%

Will 'No Religion' responses represent at least 50% of the Australian population in the 2026 census?

42.4%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Social Sciences

The US Census Bureau is adding refugees to its immigrant count

Associated Press•Dec 17, 2024

Electoral College: How it’s changed this year

CNN•Dec 17, 2024

Proposal to change India’s voting system to allow simultaneous polls fails to pass lower Parliament

Associated Press•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Indian authorities report that two hundred million or more pilgrims have attended Kumbh Mela?

63%

Will in-line chlorination devices serve at least 5.8 million people in Andhra Pradesh at the end of the 4th year of Evidence Action's program?

67%

Will 'No Religion' responses represent at least 50% of the Australian population in the 2026 census?

42.4%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

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When will India conduct a caste census?

Make a Prediction

Will Indian authorities report that two hundred million or more pilgrims have attended Kumbh Mela?

Will in-line chlorination devices serve at least 5.8 million people in Andhra Pradesh at the end of the 4th year of Evidence Action's program?

Will 'No Religion' responses represent at least 50% of the Australian population in the 2026 census?

Comments

Will Indian authorities report that two hundred million or more pilgrims have attended Kumbh Mela?

Will in-line chlorination devices serve at least 5.8 million people in Andhra Pradesh at the end of the 4th year of Evidence Action's program?

Will 'No Religion' responses represent at least 50% of the Australian population in the 2026 census?

Will Indian authorities report that two hundred million or more pilgrims have attended Kumbh Mela?

Will in-line chlorination devices serve at least 5.8 million people in Andhra Pradesh at the end of the 4th year of Evidence Action's program?

Will 'No Religion' responses represent at least 50% of the Australian population in the 2026 census?

Will Indian authorities report that two hundred million or more pilgrims have attended Kumbh Mela?

Will in-line chlorination devices serve at least 5.8 million people in Andhra Pradesh at the end of the 4th year of Evidence Action's program?

Will 'No Religion' responses represent at least 50% of the Australian population in the 2026 census?