Question

Will the UK revoke Article 50 by June 23 2020?

Resolved :No

13 comments13

Total Forecasters78

Community Prediction25%

Make a Prediction

community: 25%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

65.3

Community Peer Score

4.4

median 25.0%mean 26.3%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

European Union

United Kingdom

UK invocation of Article 50 of the Treaty on EU

Theresa May

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

When will the United Kingdom apply to rejoin the EU?

2037-07-25

Will the United Kingdom join the European Economic Area before 2040?

61%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

European Union

United Kingdom

UK invocation of Article 50 of the Treaty on EU

Theresa May

Labour’s worrying creep back towards the EU

Spectator (UK)•Oct 9, 2024

Will the UK ‘give up’ Gibraltar next? In Spain, we’re more worried about Brexit’s absurdities | María Ramírez

Guardian•Oct 10, 2024

The likelihood of a Boris Johnson comeback

Spectator (UK)•Oct 11, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

When will the United Kingdom apply to rejoin the EU?

2037-07-25

Will the United Kingdom join the European Economic Area before 2040?

61%