Question

Will the United States continue to be the country with the largest share of computational power in the November 2019 TOP500?

Resolved :Yes

5 comments5

Total Forecasters72

Community Prediction81%

Make a Prediction

community: 81%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

57.2

Community Peer Score

3.3

median 81.0%mean 81.1%

Authors:

datscilly

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

What share (in %) of the world's super-compute performance will be United States-based in the TOP500 list on the following dates?

What will be Top500's #1 performing supercomputer as a multiple of the #500 performer in 2030?

244

What will be the sum of the performance (in exaFLOPS) of the top 500 supercomputers in the following dates?

20.9

Comments

? comments

Authors:

datscilly

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Trump and Harris are sharply divided on science, but share common ground on US technology policy

The Conversation•Oct 8, 2024

U.S. Universities Dominate Global Ranking, But Their Reputation Slips

Forbes•Oct 9, 2024

The American economy has left other rich countries in the dust

Economist•Oct 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What share (in %) of the world's super-compute performance will be United States-based in the TOP500 list on the following dates?

What will be Top500's #1 performing supercomputer as a multiple of the #500 performer in 2030?

244

What will be the sum of the performance (in exaFLOPS) of the top 500 supercomputers in the following dates?

20.9