🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

conditional
condition

Countries confirm Clade I mpox? (United States)

Resolved :Yes
12 forecasters
if yes
if no

HHS mpox public health emergency--Oct 1 2024?

5%
5%
Resolved :No5%

HHS mpox public health emergency--Oct 1 2024?

1%
1%
Resolved :Annulled1%
2
0

Make a Prediction

Countries confirm Clade I mpox? (United States)

HHS mpox public health emergency--Oct 1 2024?

50%
community: 5%
Community Baseline Score
69.8
Community Peer Score
7.3
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Conditional Cup
Health & Pandemics
2024 Leaderboard

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