Question

When, before 2040, will George R. R. Martin's "The Winds of Winter" be released?

Total Forecasters18

Community Prediction2033-08-31 (2029-06-25 - 2037-01-01)

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weight:

	<2026-01-01	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2040-01-01
community	10.5%	Jun 2029	Aug 2033	Jan 2037	13.5%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<2026-01-01	10.5%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	Jun 2029	—
median	Aug 2033	—
upper 75%	Jan 2037	—
Upper bound
>2040-01-01	13.5%	—

Authors:

johnnycaffeine fallanga sttreaks

Opened:

Sep 3, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2039

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2040

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When will George R. R. Martin's “The Winds of Winter” be released?

2026-12-31

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When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?

2053-07-20

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