MetaculusM

Question

Will Pavel Durov leave France before January 1, 2025?

Resolved :No10%

13

Total Forecasters43

Community Prediction10% (0.1% - 19%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

51.3

Community Peer Score

43.8

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 27, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2025

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 27, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2025

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Cryptocurrencies

2024 Leaderboard

Lukashenko: Before 2025 election, ‘still afraid of the people’

Al Jazeera•Jan 25, 2025

What 25 years of Putin has done for Russia and the world, in a presidency bookended by war

Independent•Jan 27, 2025

Crypto Mogul Do Kwon Extradited to US to Face Charges

Newsweek•Jan 27, 2025

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