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Question

Will Russia control Pokrovsk Before 2025?

Resolved :No0.1%
Total Forecasters39
Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 0.1%)

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50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
83.5
Community Peer Score
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2
The Ukrainian military received the initial batch of new AQ 400 Scythe strike drones, with a production capacity of 100 units per month as of January 17, 2024.
The Russian advance near Pokrovsk has stalled, with no progress made in the last six days as of September 5, 2024.
Russia has deployed some 50,000 troops to the region as of 2024-11-19, indicating a significant military presence near Pokrovsk.
The Russian Ministry of Defense would need to increase its monthly recruitment rates from 40,000-42,000 recruits to 50,000 recruits.
Opened:Aug 29, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025

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