Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

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Question

Will Russia control Pokrovsk Before 2025?

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Total Forecasters36
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The Ukrainian military received the initial batch of new AQ 400 Scythe strike drones, with a production capacity of 100 units per month as of January 17, 2024.
Russia has gained almost six times as much territory in 2024 as it did in 2023, showing an increase in territorial control.
Russia has deployed some 50,000 troops to the region as of 2024-11-19, indicating a significant military presence near Pokrovsk.
The Russian advance near Pokrovsk has stalled, with no progress made in the last six days as of September 5, 2024.
Authors:
christian.q.chung
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
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