Question

How many civilians will be killed in Syria in September 2019, according to the Syrian Network for Human Rights (SNHR)?

Resolved :118

3 comments3

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction320

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2k

...

207.8

319.9

447.8

0.5%

What was the final result?118

Community Baseline Score

46.6

Community Peer Score

23.7

Authors:

datscilly

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Syrian Network for Human Rights

Syria

By 2030, will at least 10,000 Americans die in a single year from a single conflict?

15%

What will be the estimated number of internally displaced persons (IDPs) in Sudan at the end of December 2024?

11.4M

Will US Non-Overseas Contingency operations military deaths exceed 3,000 in any calendar year before 2032?

27%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

datscilly

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Syrian Network for Human Rights

Syria

At Least Nine Civilians Reported Killed in Israeli Attacks on Damascus Apartments

AntiWar•Nov 11, 2024

Syria: Fifteen killed in Israeli strikes on Damascus, state media say

CNN•Nov 14, 2024

2 Israeli airstrikes hit Syria’s capital and a suburb, killing 15 people, Syrian state media says

Associated Press•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

By 2030, will at least 10,000 Americans die in a single year from a single conflict?

15%

What will be the estimated number of internally displaced persons (IDPs) in Sudan at the end of December 2024?

11.4M

Will US Non-Overseas Contingency operations military deaths exceed 3,000 in any calendar year before 2032?

27%