Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before 2023?

Resolved :No1%
7
18
Total Forecasters214
Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
94.2
Community Peer Score
7.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
2016-2025 Leaderboard
South East England
Member of the European Parliament
Brexit Party
Nigel Farage
UK Independence Party
2019 European Parliament election in the United Kingdom
United Kingdom
2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum
Prime Minister of the UK

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