🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Allan Lichtman’s September 2024 prediction of the electoral college winner for the 2024 US Presidential Election be correct?

Resolved :No57.5%
4
9
Total Forecasters35
Community Prediction57.5% (50% - 66%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 57.5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-21.5
Community Peer Score
29.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
johnnycaffeineksimpson
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2024 Leaderboard

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