🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will be the fate of Starliner Calypso by September 30?

3
6
7 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 7

Make a Prediction

FateMe
ResolvedTouch ground at any of the planned sites
99.3%
Touch ground anywhere else
0.4%
Splashdown in any body of water
0.1%
Disintegrate in the atmosphere
0.1%
Stuck in space
0.1%
Total: ?
(? remaining)

Which of these actually happened?Touch ground at any of the planned sites

Community Baseline Score
6.2
Community Peer Score
-3.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
kqr
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Space
2024 Leaderboard

Comments

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