Question

Will there be an all-out war between Israel and Hezbollah in 2024?

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Total Forecasters64

Community Prediction99%

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community: 99%

median 99.0%mean 97.6%

Authors:

pashka24 anna.k.hennig EdwardStoppard

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Geopolitics

Politics

Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026?

Will the Gaza War lead to a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

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Authors:

pashka24 anna.k.hennig EdwardStoppard

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Politics

Israeli Forces Have Invaded Lebanon

Townhall•Oct 1, 2024

Israel begins ‘limited’ ground offensive against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon

PBS NewsHour•Oct 1, 2024

What to Know as Israel Begins Ground Offensive Against Hezbollah in Lebanon

Time•Oct 1, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026?

Will the Gaza War lead to a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

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Will there be an all-out war between Israel and Hezbollah in 2024?

Make a Prediction

Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026?

Will the Gaza War lead to a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

Comments

Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026?

Will the Gaza War lead to a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026?

Will the Gaza War lead to a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026?

Will the Gaza War lead to a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?