MetaculusM

Question

Will the Boeing Starliner Commercial Crew program be canceled before its first operational flight?

6

Total Forecasters14

Community Prediction36% (35% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 36%

Authors:

Marmoset_Threat

Opened:

Sep 8, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2031

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2032

Economy & Business

At long last, Starliner astronauts prepare for their journey home: 'We're coming back'

USA Today•Mar 5, 2025

Starliner commander says politics played no role in crew's extended stay in space

CBS•Mar 5, 2025

SpaceX again loses its Starship rocket on test flight after explosion during previous attempt

NBC•Mar 7, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

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Authors:

Marmoset_Threat

Opened:

Sep 8, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2031

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2032

Economy & Business

At long last, Starliner astronauts prepare for their journey home: 'We're coming back'

USA Today•Mar 5, 2025

Starliner commander says politics played no role in crew's extended stay in space

CBS•Mar 5, 2025

SpaceX again loses its Starship rocket on test flight after explosion during previous attempt

NBC•Mar 7, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch