🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many personal bankruptcies will be filed in the United States in the third quarter of 2024?

Resolved :128k130k
2
4
Total Forecasters7
Community Prediction130k (124k - 135k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<95k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>150k
...
...
...
...
...
0.2%
123.9k
129.9k
135.5k
1.5%

What was the final result?128k

Community Baseline Score
52.2
Community Peer Score
1.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
johnnycaffeine
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economy & Business
Law
2024 Leaderboard

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