Question

Before 2025, will laws be in place requiring that AI systems that emulate humans must reveal to people that they are AI?

Resolved :Annulled23%

20 comments20

Total Forecasters213

Community Prediction23% (10% - 37%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 23%

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Authors:

ghabs

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Regulation of AI

Law

Artificial Intelligence

2016-2025 Leaderboard

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Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?

22%

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

30%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ghabs

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Regulation of AI

Law

Artificial Intelligence

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Google Assistant

Generative AI and Climate Change Are on a Collision Course

Wired•Dec 18, 2024

Exclusive: New Research Shows AI Strategically Lying

Time•Dec 19, 2024

New Anthropic study shows AI really doesn’t want to be forced to change its views

TechCrunch•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?

22%

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

30%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Before 2025, will laws be in place requiring that AI systems that emulate humans must reveal to people that they are AI?

Make a Prediction

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

Comments

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?