MetaculusM

Question

Question

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

10

Total Forecasters39

Community Prediction66.7%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 66.7%

median 66.7%mean 65.2%

Authors:

EdwardStoppard pashka24 anna.k.hennig

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Map Shows Putin's Top Target as Russia 'Amassing 50K Troops' in Kursk

Newsweek•Nov 11, 2024

50K Russian, North Korean forces prepare to retake Kursk: officials

New York Post•Nov 12, 2024

Ukraine hoped to force Russia to pick between 2 fronts. Putin chose both.

Business Insider•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

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Authors:

EdwardStoppard pashka24 anna.k.hennig

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Map Shows Putin's Top Target as Russia 'Amassing 50K Troops' in Kursk

Newsweek•Nov 11, 2024

50K Russian, North Korean forces prepare to retake Kursk: officials

New York Post•Nov 12, 2024

Ukraine hoped to force Russia to pick between 2 fronts. Putin chose both.

Business Insider•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch