Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Question

Will no non-test nuclear weapons be detonated by January 1, 2024?

Resolved :Yes99%
83
102
Total Forecasters686
Community Prediction99% (99% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
90.6
Community Beer Score
20.9
Authors:
Tamay
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Verity
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
2016-2025 Leaderboard
Atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki
Cuban Missile Crisis
Nuclear terrorism

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