Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here β€” $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the lithium carbonate (CNY/T) price fall below 70,000 before October 1, 2024?

Resolved :No0.5%
4
48
Total Forecasters66
Community Prediction0.5% (0.1% - 1%)

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50%
community: 0.5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
35.6
Community Peer Score
20.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
pedroacosta
Opened:
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Resolves:
πŸ† Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup πŸ†
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