🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will the US weekly 30-year fixed mortgage rate be above 6.35% on October 1, 2024, according to Freddie Mac?

Resolved :No38%
Community Prediction20%37%54%71% 3:00 PM 4:30 PM 6:00 PM 7:30 PM 9:00 PM10:30 PM12:00 AM 1:30 AM 3:00 AM 4:30 AM 6:00 AM 7:30 AM 9:00 AM10:30 AM12:00 PM 1:30 PMnow
Total Forecasters33
Community Prediction38% (35% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 38%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
0.0
Community Peer Score
0.0
Learn more about scores here.
Opened:Sep 9, 2024
Closes:Sep 10, 2024
Resolves:Oct 2, 2024
Include Bots:Yes

Comments

? comments

no comments

We use cookies 🍪 to understand how you use Metaculus and to improve your experience.

Learn more about how we use cookies in our Privacy Policy