MetaculusM

Question

Is the Collatz Conjecture true?

21

Total Forecasters164

Community Prediction95% (90% - 98%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 95%

Authors:

Opened:

Jun 26, 2019

Closes:

Jun 21, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jun 21, 2520

Computing and Math

Collatz conjecture

Jeffrey Lagarias

Truth: It’s Not What People Say It Is

Psychology Today•Feb 14, 2025

Not as Simple as 1, 2, 3: Humanity Has a Surprisingly Diverse Understanding of Numbers

CounterPunch•Feb 16, 2025

Mathematicians Solve Infamous ‘Moving Sofa Problem’

Scientific American•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

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Authors:

Opened:

Jun 26, 2019

Closes:

Jun 21, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jun 21, 2520

Computing and Math

Collatz conjecture

Jeffrey Lagarias

Truth: It’s Not What People Say It Is

Psychology Today•Feb 14, 2025

Not as Simple as 1, 2, 3: Humanity Has a Surprisingly Diverse Understanding of Numbers

CounterPunch•Feb 16, 2025

Mathematicians Solve Infamous ‘Moving Sofa Problem’

Scientific American•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch