MetaculusM

Question

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

2

Total Forecasters13

Community Prediction19% (15% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 19%

Authors:

DavidHume RyanBeck

Opened:

Sep 14, 2024

Closes:

Nov 30, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 15, 2030

Environment & Climate

End of the road for electric cars? Study reveals how quickly the battery degrades in EVs

Daily Mail•Feb 13, 2025

EPA greenlights Cali EVs

American Thinker•Feb 16, 2025

Power Surge: IEA Projects Sharp Rise in Global Electricity Demand

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

DavidHume RyanBeck

Opened:

Sep 14, 2024

Closes:

Nov 30, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 15, 2030

Environment & Climate

End of the road for electric cars? Study reveals how quickly the battery degrades in EVs

Daily Mail•Feb 13, 2025

EPA greenlights Cali EVs

American Thinker•Feb 16, 2025

Power Surge: IEA Projects Sharp Rise in Global Electricity Demand

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch