Question

When will the human brain first be successfully emulated in full?

26 comments26

Total Forecasters171

Community Prediction2074-09

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2300-06

...

2040-12

2074-09

2208-08

20.0%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial intelligence

If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?

137k

If and when the first whole human brain is successfully emulated, how much will 1 hour of subjective run time cost?

18.7k

Will human brain emulation be the first successful route to human-level digital intelligence?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial intelligence

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If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?

137k

If and when the first whole human brain is successfully emulated, how much will 1 hour of subjective run time cost?

18.7k

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When will the human brain first be successfully emulated in full?

Make a Prediction

If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?

If and when the first whole human brain is successfully emulated, how much will 1 hour of subjective run time cost?

Will human brain emulation be the first successful route to human-level digital intelligence?

Comments

If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?

If and when the first whole human brain is successfully emulated, how much will 1 hour of subjective run time cost?

Will human brain emulation be the first successful route to human-level digital intelligence?

If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?

If and when the first whole human brain is successfully emulated, how much will 1 hour of subjective run time cost?

Will human brain emulation be the first successful route to human-level digital intelligence?

If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?

If and when the first whole human brain is successfully emulated, how much will 1 hour of subjective run time cost?

Will human brain emulation be the first successful route to human-level digital intelligence?