Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Question

In 2029, will the US have 3,800 or fewer nuclear weapons?

19
17
Total Forecasters109
Community Prediction58.7% (50% - 66%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 58.7%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
tetraspace
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
United States
Nuclear Posture Review
Cold War

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