🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

When will 5%, 10%, and 20% of the US population have access to L4 or L5 self-driving?

5
12
12 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

Percentage of US population25thmedian75th
weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2045-01-01
...
...
...
...
2027-03-27 17:32
2028-09-19 19:44
2030-12-24 11:22
0.9%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
j.m.
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Technology
Artificial Intelligence

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