Question
If the US does not pursue nuclear disarmament, how many nuclear warheads will it have in 2029?
Total Forecasters34
Community Prediction4.78k (4.18k - 6.16k)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 4.178k | — |
| median | 4.777k | — |
| upper 75% | 6.161k | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >100k | 0.3% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jul 3, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2029
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 3, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2029
