Question

If and when the first whole human brain is successfully emulated, how much will 1 hour of subjective run time cost?

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Total Forecasters40

Community Prediction18.7k

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My Prediction

community

<1e-3

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1B

...

0.7%

642

18.7k

1.08M

11.0%

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial Intelligence

Natural Sciences

Neuroscience

US dollar

Artificial intelligence

When will the human brain first be successfully emulated in full?

2074-09

If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?

137k

Will human brain emulation be the first successful route to human-level digital intelligence?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial Intelligence

Natural Sciences

Neuroscience

US dollar

Artificial intelligence

When will the human brain first be successfully emulated in full?

2074-09

If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?

137k

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If and when the first whole human brain is successfully emulated, how much will 1 hour of subjective run time cost?

Make a Prediction

When will the human brain first be successfully emulated in full?

If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?

Will human brain emulation be the first successful route to human-level digital intelligence?

Comments

When will the human brain first be successfully emulated in full?

If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?

Will human brain emulation be the first successful route to human-level digital intelligence?

When will the human brain first be successfully emulated in full?

If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?

Will human brain emulation be the first successful route to human-level digital intelligence?

When will the human brain first be successfully emulated in full?

If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?

Will human brain emulation be the first successful route to human-level digital intelligence?