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Will there be another case of smallpox by the end of 2029?
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17 comments
17
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Total Forecasters
111
Community Prediction
5%
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Background Info
Histogram
median
5.0%
mean
9.3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Authors:
tetraspace
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Health & Pandemics
Virology
1978 smallpox outbreak in the United Kingdom
Koltsovo
Smallpox
World Health Organization
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
State Research Center of Virology and Biotechnology VECTOR
Infectious disease
United States
Medicine
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Authors:
tetraspace
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Health & Pandemics
Virology
1978 smallpox outbreak in the United Kingdom
Koltsovo
Smallpox
World Health Organization
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
State Research Center of Virology and Biotechnology VECTOR
Infectious disease
United States
Medicine
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
WHO warns of measles resurgence as cases exceed 10 million in 2023
Al Jazeera
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Nov 15, 2024
Measles cases rose to more than 10 million in 2023, WHO and CDC say
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Nov 15, 2024
Mpox: America reports first case of new form of rare disease
Independent
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Nov 17, 2024
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News Match
WHO warns of measles resurgence as cases exceed 10 million in 2023
Al Jazeera
•
Nov 15, 2024
Measles cases rose to more than 10 million in 2023, WHO and CDC say
NBC
•
Nov 15, 2024
Mpox: America reports first case of new form of rare disease
Independent
•
Nov 17, 2024
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about Metaculus NewsMatch
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