Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Question

[Short Fuse] Will there be a deadly attack within Israel causing at least five deaths before October 1, 2024?

Resolved :No1%
2
8
Total Forecasters34
Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 3%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
80.5
Community Beer Score
26.2
Authors:
IY
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
2024 Leaderboard

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